… but only in the short run. As we saw in this previous post, stocks go down 10% or more every year. More often than not, they also recover quickly. So what return could we expect in a given year? Here is a good chart from J.P. Morgan. It shows the range of annual returns that … [Read more...] about Yes stocks are volatile
Complete List of Blog Posts
4Q 2017 quarterly portfolio update
There weren't many changes made in my portfolio last quarter. I did not start any new stock position - though I did add to three of my existing positions. I closed a couple of small stock positions where I took capital losses. There were no changes in my mutual fund positions. … [Read more...] about 4Q 2017 quarterly portfolio update
Should you invest in gold?
Is gold a good investment in today’s world? After all, gold is no longer the dominant medium of exchange – it has been replaced by national currencies backed by sovereign countries. Our obsession with the yellow metal is well known. Gold coins have been in use for trade since … [Read more...] about Should you invest in gold?
Get more out of your cash
Most of my capital is invested in stocks. You can see my portfolio here. I keep some cash as rainy-day fund and also for my dry-powder strategy. In today’s low-rate environment, cash does not return much. Short-duration CDs yield 1% to 1.5%. One-year treasury bonds return … [Read more...] about Get more out of your cash
I use cash as dry powder
Long-term investors face inevitable bear markets. Stocks may go down 20%, 30%, or occasionally even 40% - 50% before recovering. Bear markets last from six months to two years but it takes longer for stocks to recover to their previous peak prices. As an investor, I have gone … [Read more...] about I use cash as dry powder
Real investors don’t fear a recession
Recessions and expansions are normal phases of a business cycle in modern free-market economies. A recession occurs when the economy stops growing – instead, it contracts. This happens from time to time – the economy grows in fits and starts. The normal state of an economy is … [Read more...] about Real investors don’t fear a recession
Nobody’s good at predicting recessions
Various organizations and economists in the USA try their hand in predicting when the next recession might occur – none of them have been very successful. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is the de facto authority that marks the beginning and the end of each … [Read more...] about Nobody’s good at predicting recessions
It’s not healthy to check stock prices every day
If you check your stock portfolio every minute the market is open, you are setting yourself up for failure. Even every day is not good for your portfolio’s health. Perhaps every week is too frequent. Two reasons why this is so: Every-day price changes are random and carry no … [Read more...] about It’s not healthy to check stock prices every day
My year-end tax moves
I do some tax planning every year – usually in December. It is a yearly ritual that I am accustomed to. Fortunately, my taxes have not been very complicated since, most of my working years, I didn’t have any business income. So, no large business expense deductions, asset … [Read more...] about My year-end tax moves
Most investors underperform the stock market
The bad news is that we, the individual investors, collectively don’t do so well when investing in stocks. The good news is that most of this underperformance is due to our own behavior and therefore can be fixed. Let’s first look at the evidence of our underperformance over … [Read more...] about Most investors underperform the stock market