
A Tale of Two Quarters: Let’s begin with a look at the broader market. If the first quarter of this year gave you a sense of déjà vu, you weren’t alone. We experienced a trajectory remarkably similar to Q1 2025—both years teased investors with a strong start before delivering a sharp pullback in March. The numbers reflect this parallel: in both Q1 2025 and Q1 2026, the S&P 500 closed down roughly 4% to 4.7%, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ dropped about 10%.
However, that’s where the similarities end. This year Q2 is behaving differently. While last year saw a significant selloff between February and April—dropping down by 20% and therefore crossing into bear market territory—this quarter has kicked off with a massive rally that entirely erased the March dip. Today, the market is hitting new all-time highs. Exactly a year ago, we were scraping the bottom of a market correction.
Shifting Gears: As a result, my own investing activities look very different this quarter than at the same time last year. Last year, amidst the fear and selloffs, I spent April actively deploying my dry powder into stock positions. This year, my approach is the opposite. I am trimming some of my high-flying holdings to gradually build up my cash reserves.
It’s not that I could say with any conviction that stocks have hit a cyclical peak. They may well have another few years of advances ahead of them. Or just a few more months. I don’t know. But prudence requires that I increase cash in my portfolio as it reaches all-time highs.
So this is what I’ve been doing this quarter: Slowly raise my cash holdings as my portfolio continues reaching new highs. And when market eventually drops off by 10% or more, I plan to reinvest that cash back into stocks.
My top-25 stocks are mostly the same that I shared in January here. This is where I have been trimming positions this quarter. Today, my cash position is about 16.7%. I plan to eventually increase it up to 20% if the market continues to make new highs. Investor sentiment today is generally upbeat and optimistic.
Three Distinct Paths to Compounding Wealth:
Over the past few months, I’ve profiled two highly accomplished investors whose work I closely follow: David Gardner and Pulak Prasad. While their investing philosophies couldn’t be more different, both have achieved remarkable long-term success. Rounding out this trio is another highly respected long-term and successful investor I wrote about back in 2020: Chris Davis. He is also a director of Berkshire Hathaway’s board — a position that reflects what Warren Buffett thinks of his investing acumen.
In my investing, I don’t follow any one investor verbatim, but these three have shaped my thinking over the years. In the rest of this post, I want to explore the distinct investing styles of the trio, examining how their methodologies diverge and what drives their respective stock selections.
David Gardner: The Rule Breaker
David’s approach, famously known as “Rule Breaker Investing,” essentially applies a venture capital mindset to the public markets. For Gardner, capturing world-changing innovation heavily outweighs traditional valuation metrics. He actively hunts for “top dogs and first movers” in emerging, high-growth industries led by visionary founders, often embracing companies that traditional Wall Street analysts dismiss as grossly overvalued. His strategy relies entirely on the math of the Power Law. He accepts that a significant portion of his picks may fail or face brutal drawdowns, knowing that the astronomical returns of just a few generational multi-baggers will mathematically wipe out all the losses.
Pulak Prasad: The Evolutionary Investor
In stark contrast, Pulak Prasad anchors his investing philosophy in evolutionary biology, treating the stock market as a Darwinian ecosystem where the absolute highest priority is avoiding extinction. He has no interest in chasing hyper-growth disruptors or predicting the next tech mega-trend. Instead, his methodology relies on extreme selectivity to minimize Type 1 errors—the permanent destruction of capital. Prasad exclusively hunts for the market’s “apex predators”: historically proven, easy-to-understand businesses that boast consistently high Returns on Capital Employed (ROCE) alongside minimal to no debt. Once he identifies these economically resilient companies, he adopts the mindset of a permanent owner. He tunes out short-term macroeconomic noise, opting to hold these positions across multiple economic cycles so the math of uninterrupted compounding can work its magic.
Chris Davis: The Value Compounder
Davis defines his style through a disciplined, long-term search for “value compounders,” a strategy designed to capture the “Davis Double Play”—a concept first coined by his grandfather, Shelby Davis. Rather than simply bottom fishing for cheap, low-quality stocks, Davis focuses on acquiring durable, well-managed businesses fortified with strong competitive advantages, robust pricing power, and proven historical earnings. By patiently waiting to purchase these high-quality enterprises at discounted valuations, he builds in a formidable margin of safety. His goal is to hold these companies for decades and profit twice (so called double play): first from the compounding growth of the underlying earnings, and second when the broader market eventually recognizes the business’s true quality and awards the stock a higher P/E multiple.
Below, I’ve put together a table summarizing the key aspects of their individual approaches:

In my next post, I will reflect on how my own top ten positions might be scored by Gardner, Prasad, and Davis at the time I first bought them. And granted that I won’t get unanimous approvals from them, but examining where they align and conflict should reveal some good insights into my own investing style. Stay tuned.
Hi MC
thanks for your post
I think that the situation is more challenging than you imply
Oil above $100 for any length of time has always guaranteed a global recession
I think that we will see that again
While the US may consider itself insulated due its energy position, I think that the valuations being accorded to semiconductor and some IT stocks are not sustainable – and that the market is setting itself up for decline similar to year 2000 and 2008
The chart pattern on a long term perspective looks like a classic euphoric top – fuelled by FOMO
We shall see
Hi Nicholas: You may be right. I don’t pay a whole lot of attention to macro risks in my investing since I consider them unknowable. As I said in the post, I am gradually raising cash in my portfolio that I plan to redeploy when the downturn comes. Recessions are inevitable when one invests for the long term.